Powerful Times: Rising to the Challenge of Our Uncertain WorldBooks: Text Books: Macroeconomics: Item 8
6 of 6 people found the following review helpful: Brilliant: A beacon to light the way and a compass showing the general direction of things to come, January 31, 2006 Reviewer:MANUEL J HERNANDEZ "http://askmanny.com" (Orlando, FL) - Few times does a book have such a powerful effect on me. Not coincidentally is this 2005 book by Wharton School Publishing titled "Powerful Times". The book is written by the CEO of the Global Business Network, a group self-described as a "future-oriented network and consulting firm". Any assumptions you come to the book with will be strongly challenged, not to convince you to steer left or right, but rather to open up your mind to one clear and indisputable truth: these are changing times, and we might as well realize that, in order to be able to deal with the world we are embarked on and the world of the coming decade. Kelly presents the reader with a deep yet easy-to-follow set of trends, most of which are represented by opposite forces pulling in different directions. Chances are you may identify yourself with one of the forces in most of the trends, yet Kelly's effectiveness lies in his ability to present all forces in a very balanced way, which allows you to open yourself to what others may be thinking. Once all the trends have been covered, he goes into what he considers to be the three most likely scenarios to take place in the coming decade, depending on the outcome of two basic yet fundamental crossroads we are in the process of going through. He emphasizes that no single scenario should be expected to prevail in a unique way, but rather to dominate the scene, "sprinkled" with elements from the other scenarios. Finally, he provides the reader with an extensive framework for him to assess his place and that of his company in this new world we're entering. This framework, along with a handful of additional tools and resources, is provided through the book's web site at www.PowerfulTimes.net. I cannot do less but give the book five shining stars for shedding a brilliant light on some of today's impossibly contradictory issues, and giving us readers a tool with which to steer through the troubled waters of the coming decade. Back Cover Copy "Eamonn Kelly's imagination is grave, prehensile, and informed by a splendid breadth of context. This is an absolutely fascinating book, and one I look forward to re-reading at the earliest opportunity." —William Gibson, science fiction writer, author of Neuromancer and Pattern Recognition "The world is changing fast in ways we dimly comprehend. Eamonn Kelly provides us with the ideas to better understand what is going on. He lays out the dilemmas we face and hints at ways in which the global agenda might evolve. He is a master of the 'big picture.' This is must reading for those who need to know about the future of planet Earth." —Ged Davis, Managing director and head, Centre for Strategic Insight, World Economic Forum "This book is a wake-up call for all who may not recognize the powerful uncertainties that are shaping our future. Those of us in business will need to upgrade our skills to learn how to balance market and moral wisdom, and to move from our narrow focus on competition to embracing adaptiveness as well." —Crawford Beveridge, Senior Vice President of People and Places, Sun Microsystems "The world around us is a very confusing and complex place; making sense of where we are, let alone where we are headed, is fraught with uncertainty. In Powerful Times, Eamonn Kelly has given us a something far better than predictions that can be proven wrong. He has crafted an insightful map of the plausible landscapes unfolding in front of us, a map that enables us to navigate these surprising times. Kelly helps us to understand and prepare for the often contradictory and paradoxical cross currents shaping our future so that we are equipped to make better decisions today that will stand up to an uncertain tomorrow." —Peter Schwartz, co-founder, Global business Network; author, Inevitable Surprises "History is unleashed, the future is unwritten, and this is the best assessment of today's highly turbulent driving forces that you are likely to find anywhere. Reading Eamonn Kelly's book is like watching him break a kaleidoscope and number the bits." —Bruce Sterling, science fiction writer (Holy Fire, The Hacker Crackdown); Viridian design activist; Wired blogger "I love this book; it is an easy and thought-provoking read. In a world seemingly torn by multiple uncertainties and tensions, Powerful Times sorts them out for us into a clear map of outcomes and consequences. And rather than dispense formulas—like so many business books—Kelly challenges us to think for ourselves about strategies we might not have otherwise imagined." —Luis Jimenez, senior vice president and chief strategy officer, Pitney Bowes "Eamonn Kelly's Powerful Times could as well have been called The art of the Wide View. In times of great upheaval, he demonstrates, the critical skill for decision makers is to avoid being prisoner of one's expectations. Kelly shows us how to array our forces so as to be prepared not just for rose petals being strewn at our feet, but also road bombs. Kelly's profound lesson is that 'both/and' thinking is the only way to make hard decisions in the face of ambiguity and uncertainty." —Joel Garreau, author of Radical Evolution: The Promise and Peril of Enhancing Our Minds, Our Bodies—and What It Means to Be Human "Any company that bets on a single future is likely to be blindsided by events that fall outside their peripheral vision. Eamonn Kelly's insights will help organizations tune their peripheral vision, perhaps even see out the back of their heads, so they can anticipate the most lethal threats or take advantage of a currently hidden opportunity." —Daniel Rasmus, director of information work vision, Microsoft; IT industry observer; former vice president of Forrester Research "Kelly carries on the rich tradition of Global business Network in raising the important questions that society, business, and government will be facing in the future. Powerful Times does a masterful job of framing these questions with a richly illustrated story of how the future is unfolding right before us." —Andrew Hines, executive director, Association of Professional Futurists; lecturer in future studies, University of Houston "In Powerful Times, the practical realities of scenario thinking instruct the reader from start to finish. Kelly's storytelling makes easy reading of the otherwise daunting realities of future challenges and proposes frameworks for the decisions we must make as individuals and corporations in a changing and interdependent world." —Nancy Ramsey, author, The Futures of Women "Anyone trying to anticipate the future—to seize the great investment opportunities or to dodge potentially enterprise-ending risks—should pay attention to Eamonn Kelly's insights, honed from years of scenario thinking on the world business stage. A distinguished futurist, Kelly has filled his canvas so richly that any perspective will gain from his explication of the global forces that envelop all human enterprise—from the impacts of India, China, and AIDS to the range of energy or meteorologic futures that could unfold from this moment forward. Kelly argues cogently that while continued wealth and prosperity are plausible, they are no one country's or region's manifest destiny." —Eric Best, global scenario strategist, Morgan Stanley Prepare for a revolutionary global transformation History is truly in motion, unfolding before us at a breathtaking pace and leaving us to wonder and worry about what will come next. In this book, Eamonn Kelly illuminates a set of dynamic tensions that will transform tomorrow's global economy, culture, geopolitics—and your life.
Kelly has spent 15 years helping organizations understand what's coming next so they can embrace risk, master uncertainty, and act with confidence to shape their own destinies. After reading this book, you'll never hear the news, peruse the papers, or make decisions in the same way again. © Copyright Pearson Education. All rights reserved. About The Author Eamonn Kelly is CEO and president of Global business Network, the renowned future-oriented network and consulting firm. For over a decade, he has been at the forefront of exploring the emergence of a new, knowledgeintensive economy, and its far-reaching consequences for society, organizations and individuals. He has consulted with senior executives at dozens of the world's leading corporations in virtually every leading business sector; with key global and national public agencies, and with major philanthropic foundations. Kelly co-authored What's Next: Exploring the New Terrain for business and The Future of the Knowledge Economy, and authored GBN's 2003 Scenario Book. |
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